You said you were tired, so I thought I'd help with the edit:
1. Assuming no antes, blinds would have to be 7.5K/15K to take a pot of $30K to the flop.
2. Tran is in position and can't check/minraise. He just min-reraised.
Other than that I really like your thought process here, though I don't think the K on the turn is quite as irrelevant as you do, as it makes sense as a 2 pair hand or as flop air that caught vs Phil's weak 3rd pair. |